Bubble Tracker: Which conference will fare best on Selection Sunday?
Conference supremacy can be measured in a variety of ways. When it comes to teams on the NCAA tournament bubble, some (ahem, SEC) feature more fringe teams than most. But which conference will fare best on Selection Sunday — a mere three weeks from this Sunday?
Here's a look at the conferences that will get the best percentage of bubble teams into the field of 68.
► Atlantic 10: 2/2 bubble teams projected to make the field (100%).
- 2/14 teams out of the conference on the bubble (14%)
- 2 bubble teams projected in out of whole conference (14%)
- 2 total conference teams considered for at-large bids (14%)
- 2 projected bids
► ACC: 4/6 bubble teams projected to make the field (67%).
- 6/15 teams out of the conference on the bubble (40%)
- 4 bubble teams projected in out of whole conference (27%)
- 12 total conference teams considered for at-large bids (80%)
- 10 projected bids
► Pac-12: 2/3 bubble teams projected to make the field (67%).
- 3/12 teams out of the conference on the bubble (25%)
- 2 bubble teams projected in out of whole conference (17%)
- 6 teams considered for at-large bids (50%)
- 5 projected bids
► Big 12: 3/5 bubble teams projected to make the field (60%).
- 5/10 teams out of the conference on the bubble (50%)
- 3 bubble teams projected in out of whole conference (30%)
- 8 total conference teams considered for at-large bids (80%)
- 6 projected bids
► Big East: 2/4 bubble teams projected to make the field (50%).
- 4/10 teams out of the conference on the bubble (40%)
- 2/10 bubble teams projected in out of whole conference (20%)
- 8 total conference teams considered for at-large bids (80%)
- 6 projected bids
► Big Ten: 2/5 bubble teams projected to make the field (40%).
- 5/14 teams out of the conference on the bubble (36%)
- 2/14 bubble teams projected in out of whole conference (14%)
- 10/14 total conference teams considered for at-large bids (71%)
- 7 projected bids
► SEC: 2/7 bubble teams projected to make the field (29%).
- 7/14 teams out of the conference on the bubble (50%)
- 2/14 bubble teams projected in out of whole conference (14%)
- 10/14 total conference teams considered for at-large bids (71%)
- 5 projected bids
► AAC: 0/1 bubble teams projected to make the field (0%).
- 1/11 teams out of the conference on the bubble (1%)
- 0/11 teams projected in out of whole conference (0%)
- 3 total conference teams considered for at-large bids
- 2 projected bids
BRACKETOLOGY: Full field of 68
Results/records are shown are against Division I opponents only. Breakdown data as of February 16.
Removed from consideration in this week's tracker: Rhode Island, Auburn
Houston (out for now)
► Profile: 18-7 (9-4) 56 RPI, 107 SoS, 119 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. Rhode Island, Vermont
- The Bad: Losses vs. UCF, LSU, Harvard
Virginia Tech (In for now)
► Profile: 18-7 (7-6) 34 RPI, 66 SoS, 284 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. Duke, Clemson, Syracuse, Ole Miss, Michigan, Georgia Tech, Virginia, Pittsburgh
- The Bad: No bad losses
Syracuse (In for now)
► Profile: 16-11 (8-6) 79 RPI, 51 SoS, 168 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. Florida State, Virginia, Wake Forest, Monmouth, Miami, Clemson, Pittsburgh,
- The Bad: Losses vs. UConn, Saint Johns, Boston College
Georgia Tech (In for now)
► Profile: 14-11 (6-7) 78 RPI, 44 SoS, 244 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. North Carolina, Florida State, VCU, Notre Dame, Clemson
- The Bad: Loss vs. Ohio
Clemson (In for now)
► Profile: 14-11 (4-9) 51 RPI, 17 SoS, 95 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. South Carolina, Wake Forest, UNC-Wilmington, Pittsburgh, Georgia, Alabama, Georgia Tech
- The Bad: Loss vs. Oklahoma
Miami (Out for now)
► Profile: 17-8 (7-6) 50 RPI, 59 SoS, 262 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. North Carolina, Pittsburgh, Stanford
- The Bad: No bad losses
Wake Forest (Out for now)
► Profile: 15-11 (6-8) 38 RPI, 19 SoS, 16 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. Miami, Georgia Tech
- The Bad: No bad losses
Dayton (In for now)
► Profile: 18-5 (10-2) 28 RPI, 67 SoS, 55 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. Rhode Island (twice), Vanderbilt, Alabama
- The Bad: Losses vs. Massachusetts
VCU (In for now)
► Profile: 20-5 (10-2) 27 RPI, 66 SoS, 68 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. Dayton, Middle Tennessee State
- The Bad: Losses vs. Davidson, Fordham
Michigan State (In for now)
► Profile: 16-10 (8-5) 42 RPI, 18 SoS, 17 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. Minnesota (twice), Northwestern, Wichita State, Michigan, Ohio State
- The Bad: Loss vs. Northeastern
Michigan (In for now)
► Profile: 16-9 (6-6) 58 RPI, 52 SoS, 92 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. SMU, Michigan State, Illinois, Marquette, Indiana (twice)
- The Bad: No bad losses
Indiana (Out for now)
► Profile: 15-12 (5-9) 91 RPI, 40 SoS, 158 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. Kansas, North Carolina, Michigan State, Illinois,
- The Bad: Loss vs. IPFW
Illinois (Out for now)
► Profile: 13-12 (4-9) 72 RPI, 14 SoS, 42 NonCon SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. VCU, Northwestern, Ohio State, Michigan
- The Bad: No bad losses
Penn State (Out for now)
► Profile: 14-13 (6-8) 77 RPI, 27 SoS, 47 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. Maryland, Minnesota, Michigan State, Illinois (twice), Georgia Tech
- The Bad: Losses vs. George Mason, Rutgers, Albany
Seton Hall (In for now)
► Profile: 16-9 (6-7) 40 RPI, 42 SoS, 121 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. South Carolina, California, Georgetown, Marquette, Providence, Creighton
- The Bad: Loss vs. Saint Johns
Georgetown (In for now)
► Profile: 14-12 (5-8) 61 RPI, 11 SoS, 20 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. Butler, Oregon, Creighton, Syracuse
- The Bad: Losses vs. No bad losses
Providence (Out for now)
► Profile: 16-11 (6-8) 57 RPI, 34 SoS, 185 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. Seton Hall, Rhode Island, Vermont, Georgetown (twice), Marquette, Memphis, Butler, Xavier
- The Bad: Losses vs. Saint Johns, Boston College, DePaul
Marquette (Out for now)
► Profile: 15-10 (6-7) 81 RPI, 68 SoS, 257 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. Villanova, Creighton, Seton Hall, Vanderbilt, Georgia, Georgetown
- The Bad: Loss vs. Saint Johns
Oklahoma State (In for now)
► Profile: 16-9 (6-7) 28 RPI, 12 SoS, 34 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. West Virginia, TCU (twice), Arkansas, Wichita State, Georgetown, Texas Tech
- The Bad: Loss vs. Texas
Iowa State (In for now)
► Profile: 16-9 (8-5) 47 RPI, 43 SoS, 160 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. Kansas, Oklahoma State, Kansas State (twice), Miami, Texas Tech
- The Bad: Loss vs. Texas
TCU (In for now)
► Profile: 16-9 (6-7) 49 RPI, 32 SoS, 110 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. Illinois State, Kansas State, Iowa State, Texas Tech
- The Bad: No bad losses
Kansas State (Out for now)
► Profile: 16-10 (5-8) 55 RPI, 41 SoS, 240 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. Baylor, West Virginia, Oklahoma State
- The Bad: No bad losses
Texas Tech (Out for now)
► Profile: 17-9 (5-8) 85 RPI, 90 SoS, 337 non-conference SOS
- The Good: Wins vs. Baylor, West Virginia, TCU, Kansas State,
- The Bad: Losses to Texas, Oklahoma
USC (In for now)
► Profile: 21-5 (8-5) 33 RPI, 82 SoS, 176 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. SMU, UCLA, Stanford
- The Bad: No bad losses
California (In for now)
► Profile: 18-7 (9-4) 32 RPI, 39 SoS, 70 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. USC, Utah
- The Bad: Loss vs. San Diego State
Utah (Out for now)
► Profile: 15-8 (8-5) 80 RPI, 91 SoS, 245 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Win vs. USC
- The Bad: No bad losses
Arkansas (In for now)
► Profile: 19-7 (8-5) 36 RPI, 67 SoS, 54 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Alabama, Houston, South Carolina
- The Bad: Losses vs. Mississippi State, Missouri
Tennessee (In for now)
► Profile: 13-12 (6-7) 46 RPI, 3 SoS, 9 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. Kentucky, Kansas State, Vanderbilt, Auburn, Ole Miss, Georgia Tech,
- The Bad: Loss vs. Mississippi State
Alabama (Out for now)
► Profile: 14-10 (7-5) 74 RPI, 43 SoS, 84 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. South Carolina, Vanderbilt, Georgia
- The Bad: Loss vs. Texas
Auburn (Out for now)
► Profile: 15-10 (8-5) 69 RPI, 55 SoS, 81 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. TCU, Alabama (twice), Texas Tech
- The Bad: Loss vs. Texas
Vanderbilt (Out for now)
► Profile: 12-13 (5-7) 62 RPI, 6 SoS, 1 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. Florida, Iowa State, Arkansas, Belmont, Auburn
- The Bad: Loss vs. Missouri
Georgia (Out for now)
► Profile: 14-11 (6-7) 52 RPI, 21 SoS, 30 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. Vanderbilt, Auburn, Ole Miss, Georgia Tech, Tennessee
- The Bad: Loss vs. Oakland
Ole Miss (Out for now)
► Profile: 16-10 (7-6) 66 RPI, 38 SoS, 40 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Auburn (twice), Memphis
- The Bad: No bad losses
Assume these teams do not win their conference tourney to secure the auto-bid.
Saint Mary’s (In for now)
► Profile: 22-3 (12-2) 20 RPI, 79 SoS, 82 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. Dayton, Nevada, Stanford
- The Bad: No bad losses
Middle Tennessee State (Out for now)
► Profile: 21-4 (12-1) 37 RPI, 141 SoS, 21 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Wins vs. UNC-Wilmington, Vanderbilt, Belmont, Ole Miss
- The Bad: Losses vs. Georgia State, Tennessee State, UTEP
Illinois State (Out for now)
► Profile: 21-5 (14-1) 31 RPI, 133 SoS, 99 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Win vs. Wichita State
- The Bad: Losses vs. Tulsa, Murray State
Wichita State (Out for now)
► Profile: 23-4 (14-1) 43 RPI, 154 SoS, 188 non-conference SoS
- The Good: Win vs. Illinois State
- The Bad: No bad losses
***
Note: All RPI and statistical data is used from WarrenNolan.com.
About our bracketologist: Shelby Mast has been projecting the field since 2005 and has finished as one of the top 5 national bracketologists for his website, Bracket W.A.G. He’s predicted for The Indianapolis Star, collegeinsider.com and is an inaugural member of the Super 10 Selection Committee. Follow him on Twitter @BracketWag.
NCAA TOURNAMENT BUBBLE TEAMS